Friday, December 20, 2024
Thursday, December 19, 2024
Wednesday, December 18, 2024
Monday, December 16, 2024
Best of: Blizzards
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DmOAQSofDnM
Most of the temperature records start in 1880 when reportedly we had better measurements.
The 1880s had some terrible and dangerous winters.
I saw another video claiming that we could get more snow this winter.
Sunday, December 15, 2024
Jordan Peterson: The Rationalists and Empiricists Have Lost
Jordan Peterson is a great intellectual public speaker who is often inciteful. However, he views truth in terms of psychological perception. He has no sense of absolute truth but views truth as subjective. I think that this is a form of Relativism. Followed to its logical extreme, a person could believe or rationalize anything.
In this regard, Jordan Peterson is not rational. It may be that most people view truth according to their subjective experiences, but regardless of what we perceive or want truth to be, truth doesn't care about our feelings. Ideas are either true or they are not.
Saturday, December 14, 2024
Friday, December 13, 2024
Thursday, December 12, 2024
Wednesday, December 11, 2024
You Are Not Evil
0 seconds ago
Hank,
The data shows the temperature has taken 140 years to go up 1 degree Celsius.
This is relative to a dangerous and deadly cold period in the 1880's.
This slow rate of change shows that there is no climate emergency.
The current rate of change is at most 0.2 degrees per decade.
We will be running out of most fossil fuels by the year 2100.
Coal will be the last fossil fuel to go.
At the current level of usage, we only have 40 years of oil reserves remaining.
CO2 is a valuable resource.
It keeps the earth from freezing and it is plant food.
There is a greening of the earth because of it.
The CO2 level over the last 40 million years has been in a nose dive.
This is because calcifying marine organisms sequester CO2 (indirectly).
The CO2 level got so low during the last period of mass glaciation that it
reached 180 parts per million.
This is just barely above the 150 parts per million where all the terrestrial
plants die.
A funny thing happens to the climate roughly every 100,000 years.
The data shows that the temperature will quickly shoot up 8 to 15 degrees,
level off for 10,000 years, and then go back down almost as quickly.
Then we get 85 to 90 thousand years of mass glaciation where New York is covered
by ice.
We should already be in the cool-down cycle of the interglacial.
The only thing that has prevented the planet from cooling is those pesky humans
who added 150 parts per million CO2 into the atmosphere.
The infrared absorption range of CO2 is much narrower than other gasses like
water vapor, and it has already reached 90% of its absorption capacity.
Climate alarmism is dependent on as-of-yet unproven positive feedback models.
There are many feedbacks, some of which are negative.
There is much controversy over clouds, where common sense would indicate
negative feedback to temperature, but the IPCC says the opposite.
True science looks at data and then comes to a conclusion.
The IPCC does the opposite. They start with a conclusion and then support
that with evidence. The IPCC refused to hire anyone who did not already
believe in catastrophic man-made warming. This shows their bias. The IPCC
actively suppressed skeptical papers and tried to get skeptical scientists
fired. The head of U.N., António Guterres, was a Socialist Party politician
in Portugal, and he routinely makes outrageous statements about the climate
that are completely inaccurate.
Socialism is not palatable to the American people, so the socialists have been
pushing false crises to divide and conquer and to give us more government
control in incremental steps. I'm sorry that you have been duped by this mass
hysteria.
Best wishes,
John Coffey
Tuesday, December 10, 2024
What Was The Oldest Human Face Ever Recorded?
This is pretty interesting. The part at 16:30 made me laugh.
Monday, December 9, 2024
Sunday, December 8, 2024
Saturday, December 7, 2024
Computer Intelligence
I have been making the same prediction for a couple of decades. We have seen big advances in computer intelligence, but not as quickly as I thought:
"Given current trends, it would seem pretty likely that within 10 years we could have robots that could perform just about any task you would want them to. They might not be affordable to the average person, but businesses could use them for things like mining, construction, etc. 10 years ago I was predicting that eventually robots would be able to build houses.
The technology is so close already. There have been some great advances in android type robots especially by the Japanese. They are already using robots to care for old people in nursing homes. (Something to look forward to?)
When this will happen is mostly a question of cost effectiveness. We all know that the cost of technology goes down over time.
Within 10 years it is likely that they could hold a conversation with you. Already there are robots have full facial expression.
This is probably true of your PC as well. Imagine a "conversation wizard" on your computer that asks "Where would you like to go today?" (Microsoft's old slogan.) What affect will this have on human interaction?
If you were to call up your bank, you might not know if you are talking to a real person.
Computer driven cars seem likely to me. There are already have cars that can parallel park themselves. I want one of those. :-)
We already have computer controlled airplanes that require no human intervention such as the Global Hawk. Newer commercial planes have an autopilot that if needed can completely take over and land the plane. Compared to driving a car, landing a plane is pretty mundane.
Consider the following: As computers get smarter, we will be gradually relinquishing more control to them. It will happen so slowly that we won't notice it. For example, maybe a computer would do all your investing. That seems realistic as computer controlled investing has happened on Wall Street for at least a decade.. I hope that somewhere along the way that we don't lose complete control. :-)"
"Given current trends, it would seem pretty likely that within 10 years we could have robots that could perform just about any task you would want them to. They might not be affordable to the average person, but businesses could use them for things like mining, construction, etc. 10 years ago I was predicting that eventually robots would be able to build houses.
The technology is so close already. There have been some great advances in android type robots especially by the Japanese. They are already using robots to care for old people in nursing homes. (Something to look forward to?)
When this will happen is mostly a question of cost effectiveness. We all know that the cost of technology goes down over time.
Within 10 years it is likely that they could hold a conversation with you. Already there are robots have full facial expression.
This is probably true of your PC as well. Imagine a "conversation wizard" on your computer that asks "Where would you like to go today?" (Microsoft's old slogan.) What affect will this have on human interaction?
If you were to call up your bank, you might not know if you are talking to a real person.
Computer driven cars seem likely to me. There are already have cars that can parallel park themselves. I want one of those. :-)
We already have computer controlled airplanes that require no human intervention such as the Global Hawk. Newer commercial planes have an autopilot that if needed can completely take over and land the plane. Compared to driving a car, landing a plane is pretty mundane.
Consider the following: As computers get smarter, we will be gradually relinquishing more control to them. It will happen so slowly that we won't notice it. For example, maybe a computer would do all your investing. That seems realistic as computer controlled investing has happened on Wall Street for at least a decade.. I hope that somewhere along the way that we don't lose complete control. :-)"
Friday, December 6, 2024
Thursday, December 5, 2024
Wednesday, December 4, 2024
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