Wednesday, July 6, 2022

Science and human progress

There is very little that we don't currently understand about the laws of physics.  The so-called "Standard Model" can explain almost everything.  I have to admire the brilliance of the people who figured this stuff out because to understand anything more than in general terms requires very many pages of high-level mathematics.

It is not perfect.  Both the Theory of Relativity and Quantum Physics are incomplete theories.  They don't agree perfectly with each other and they can't explain what happened during the first nanosecond of the Big Bang.  We would need a Quantum Theory of Gravity that we don't have yet.  We don't know yet what Dark Matter and Dark Energy are, although we have some theories.

Some things we might never know.  Subatomic particles behave like waves on a vast ocean.  We may never know what the ocean is made of because it sits beneath our reality.  It is likely beyond our reach.  

But in terms of what makes spaceships travel the path they do, how computers compute, and why socks stick to your clothes when you take them out of the dryer, we understand all that stuff perfectly.  

So besides cosmology and particle physics, what is left to discover?   

1.  We will never have faster than light travel.  It would be a miracle and a monumental and dangerous undertaking if we could reach 10% the speed of light.   Even 1% of the speed of light would be amazing.

2. Our computing technology will soon run into physical limitations where we just can't make the circuits any smaller.  The next step would be light-based circuitry, but the technology is not yet even close.  People make pie-in-the-sky claims about Quantum computers that are a very long way off.  So it seems likely that the advancement in computer technology will slow down in about a decade.  Maybe the next big breakthrough would come from software.

3.  For seventy years people have been predicting that nuclear fusion power is just 30 years away.  They said the same thing 30 years ago.  It turns out that nuclear fusion power is very hard to do and only remotely possible on a massive scale requiring at least billions of dollars to build.  We should have it by the year 2100, which is a good thing because we are going to start running out of some fossil fuels long before then.  We need more nuclear fission plans, and we are predicted to get more in about a decade, but it would be difficult to build enough to power the world.

4.  Renewables are going to be somewhat of a bust.  They are useful on a limited scale, but they require too much land and too much raw material and resources to power the world.

5.  We are seeing advances in nanomaterials that could change the world.  The first graphene batteries are being developed.  This could have a major impact on electric vehicles.

6.  I think that we will see huge advances in biotechnology, not only in our understanding of biology and medicine but in the ability to manipulate genetic code for useful purposes.  We could program microbes to make medicines and materials that we need.  We might be able to cure diseases, improve our health, and increase our lifespans.  Biotechnology could be the next big thing.

-

Tuesday, June 21, 2022

What the HECK is Time?! (in Einstein’s Relativity)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7HBKEDyFTv8&t=584s

I still have some problems with the concept of "spacetime".  It seems to conflate two things that aren't the same.  The problem with "spacetime" is that they sometimes make weird statements about extreme events, like saying that before the Big Bang there was no time, or that beneath the event horizon in a Black Hole that time flows toward the singularity.  Scientists say that the Theory of Relativity breaks down in extreme events and is most certainly not a complete theory.

There is an alternate theory about Black Holes which states that they aren't infinitely dense.  There could be a finite limit to density.  There is also a much more fringe and probably not true theory that states that Black Holes are just super massive neutron stars.

If we accept that gravity can attract light then this explains gravitational lensing.

If we accept that there is a cosmic speed limit then this explains time dilation.

"Spacetime" is a model that explains both these things.  When they say that space is curved, they really mean that spacetime is curved.  This concept confused me for a long time.

In my mind, this doesn't rule out the possibility of another model.   "All models are wrong.  Some models are useful."


Lithium is dangerous

March 4 2022 Moon Crash - view from different location

I think that this is fake, but a scenario like this is definitely possible. History has recorded people seeing a fire on the moon from an apparent meteor strike. I have heard about a strike that was more recent.

A few years ago an asteroid exploded over Russian with the force of a powerful nuclear weapon.

https://youtu.be/bfThiqDd9FA

Best wishes,

John Coffey

Saturday, June 18, 2022

The actual science of the "industrial seed oil" panic

I get frustrated with all the contradictory health information we hear regularly.  This video does a good job of talking about the science and the arguments on both sides.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efTBLsv4yYs

Gravity

I get annoyed when I hear people say, as they often do, "There is no gravity in space."

There is gravity everywhere.  Some places much more than others.   A ship in orbit is using centrifugal force to counteract the pull of Earth's gravity.  Technically, it is in constant freefall.

--

Tuesday, May 31, 2022

Quantum Field Theory: What is a particle?

I was hoping for some deep explanation.  What I got instead was 35 minutes of math that was over my head.  I actually had fun trying to keep up with the math.  I have never studied differential equations but watching the video was giving me some idea of what they may be about.  While the math was too deep for me, I sort of understood what was going on.

This is interesting because it shows how deep physics can get.

After 35 minutes of extremely deep math, he comes to a simple conclusion that I already knew.

Physics is one of my favorite subjects because everything that exists boils down to physics.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QPAxzr6ihu8


What does a nuclear bomb sound like?

Saturday, May 28, 2022

Fwd: Calcium is crazy

This is interesting science.

https://youtube.com/shorts/a9XSxgQhNJ0?feature=share

I consume calcium carbonate on a regular basis.  I did not know that calcium is a metal, but I did know that it is pretty reactive.  So is sodium.

Friday, May 27, 2022

Vaccine Lies?

FYI.

On Fri, May 27, 2022 at 10:34 AM Albert wrote:
The lies about Covid vaccine keep co I got. I think there is no end to it.



---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: John Coffey <john2001plus@gmail.com>
To: Albert

What lies do you think are being told?  The vaccines were very effective against the original variant and became less effective as the virus evolved.  This was expected.

Being vaccinated produces much better results than not being vaccinated.

"The age-standardized IRR for cases in unvaccinated versus fully vaccinated persons was 13.9 during April–May and progressively declined to 8.7 during June, 5.1 during July–November, and 3.1 during December, coinciding with the periods of Delta emergence, Delta predominance, and Omicron emergence, respectively. This decline suggests a change in crude VE for infection from 93% during April–May, to 89% during June, 80% during July–November, and to 68% during December. Age-standardized IRRs for deaths among unvaccinated versus fully vaccinated persons were relatively stable; crude VE for deaths was 95% during April–May, 94% during June, and 94% during July–November.

Rates of COVID-19 cases were lowest among fully vaccinated persons with a booster dose, compared with fully vaccinated persons without a booster dose, and much lower than rates among unvaccinated persons during October–November (25.0, 87.7, and 347.8 per 100,000 population, respectively) and December 2021 (148.6, 254.8, and 725.6 per 100,000 population, respectively) (Table 2)."

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7104e2.htm